Sunday, 29 April 2012

Do Mothercare really care about the dividends?

















Mothercare recently announced that they intend to shut 170 UK stores over the next three years; bringing their store total down to 200 (BBC News, 2012). Mothercare has been on a gradual decline in recent times so this news does not necessarily come as a big shock to many. Shareholders are likely to be particularly disappointed as it was announced that dividend payments would be suspended as the company concentrated on refinancing its current bank borrowings (Financial Times, 2012). After being such a successful chain for so many years, where did it all go wrong? Had dividend payments dried up in recent years?

Mothercare reported that the company was debt free in May 2011, had refinanced its bank facilities and made increased dividend payments totalling £15.5m (Mothercare, 2011). The company was aware that it was struggling at the time so why did it make these payments? Some may suggest that Mothercare could afford to make this payment at the time as dividends can only be paid out of realised profits. The problem here is that it does not necessarily have to be the realised profits from that particular year. The dividend payments could be based on realised profits from a few years ago when the company was much more stable and successful.

Market value may have been one reason why Mothercare persisted in paying handsome dividends under the circumstances. As the company continued to increase their dividends, shareholders would hopefully stay invested in the company rather than selling their shares. A share price can decrease for a company if they do not make regular dividend payments. Some investors judge the performance of a company on the dividend payments. This suggests why some companies continue to make these payments when they actually cannot afford to.Making dividend payments for this reason does not solve the financial situation in any way. It just avoids the inevitable downfall that will occur in the future

As the graph below shows, the share price of the company remained high until October 2011 when the company issued its second profit warning of the year (BBC News, 2011). This suggests that the company did not maybe concentrate on its profits and margins as much as it should have. If this had been more of a primary focus then the profits may have remained higher and therefore the share price would not have dropped dramatically. .














(Yahoo Finance, 2012)
 

Porterfield (1965) argued that dividend payments should be used to maximise shareholder wealth. Modigliani & Millar (1961) countered this statement with Dividend Irrelevance. They suggested that in the short term dividend payments were not all that important and that the long term growth of a company is what would lead to shareholder wealth maximisation. If Mothercare had followed this advice then maybe they would not find themselves in this current predicament. An argument against this is how long is it possible to not make dividend payments for and when does the long term no longer become the long term? Surely there comes a point where shareholders would become disgruntled at not receiving any form of payment on their investment. Mothercare investors may accept not being paid dividends now but only on the basis that the company will repay them for this patience in the future.
                      
In February it was announced that Simon Calver would leave Lovefilm to take over the reign at Mothercare (BBC News, 2012). He will have been fully aware of Mothercares financial turmoil as they announced two profit warnings last year. Mr Calver must feel that he knows what needs to be done at the company in order to regain stability and move the company forward. However, many other senior figures have taken over at other struggling companies in the past and have failed to deliver what they promised; Woolworths being a perfect example. If the company does not succeed then some may argue that appointing Mr Calver will have cost money that could have been used more appropriately elsewhere in an attempt to save the company.

It is most likely that the new Chief Executive was the person who decided to not make dividend payments; this may well have been his first major decision in this role. This shows how dividends can play a key role in the success or failure of a company. It is important to notify shareholders as to why dividends will not be paid. If they are not informed then it is more likely that they will sell their investment and move elsewhere. If the message is communicated properly and the reason is justifiable then it is more likely that the shareholders will appreciate the honesty and maybe not sell after all.

UK companies currently pay dividends to their respective shareholders twice a year. An interim dividend is paid during the year and then a final dividend is paid after shareholder approval is given at an annual general meeting (AGM). I believe that this could be one of the main problems to why dividend payments made can be misjudged. Some companies may feel pressurised to make a payment even if they realistically know that they cannot afford to at that moment in time. If a company could choose to make dividend payments at any given time then surely this would be more appropriate. Companies would be able to assess all of their financial and investment options accordingly before deciding how much to pay in dividends and when to make this payment. It would become more apparent that companies were making dividend payments because they were in a position to do so rather than feeling that they had to because it was that time of the year. Companies could operate more efficiently in this manner and therefore the dividend payments may be more generous as the companies become more successful.

It is possible for companies to recover and be successful again but the right people need to be in place for this to happen. Strong characters are needed and these strong characters need to make the right decisions at the right time. Neil Harrington, the finance director of Mothercare, left the company in April (Telegraph, 2012) and this may be a blessing in disguise. One reason contributing to why that individual left may have been to avoid the tough times that lay ahead for the company.

Putting a stop to dividends in the short term may well be what saves Mothercare in the long term. Arnold (2008) states that dividends are that part of profit paid to ordinary shareholders, usually on a regular basis. This definition may not be appropriate in the near future if many other companies follow the trend of Mothercare.



Sources used:
Arnold
BBC News
Financial Times
Modigliani & Millar
Mothercare Annual Report
Porterfield
Telegraph
Yahoo Finance

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